Christopher Vecchio Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Sr. Currency Strategist at DailyFX
Contributor's Links: DailyFX

Christopher Vecchio is a senior currency strategist at DailyFX. He has been trading equities since 2004 and forex since 2008.

Christopher has consulted multi-national firms on FX hedging and has lectured at Duke Law School on FX derivatives trading. He focuses on both ... more

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Central Bank Watch: Fed Speeches, Interest Rate Expectations Update; May Fed Meeting Preview
Rates markets are fully pricing in a 50-bps rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: US Durable Goods, Australia Inflation Rate, & More
The week is filled to the brim with significant data prints and releases from all over the world. Let's take a look at the ones with the most potential to be market-moving catalysts in the week ahead.
Weekly Fundamental US Dollar Forecast: Up, Up, And Away
The US dollar’s (via the DXY Index) strong run continued through the third week of April, adding another +0.62%. The DXY Index has been positive in 12 of the 16 weeks thus far in 2022, good for a +5.69% advance year-to-date.
As Fed Hikes Rates, Will ARKK Continue To Sink?
ARKK may be struggling due to the profile of companies in which it invests, largely thanks to the current market environment than anything else.
Central Bank Watch: BOE And ECB Interest Rate Expectations - Update
Both the Bank of England and European Central Bank are slow walking their fight against high inflation pressures.
Central Bank Watch: RBA, BOC & RBNZ Interest Rate Expectations Update
Both the Bank of Canada and Reserve Bank of New Zealand are expected to hike rates next week: the former by 50-bps, the latter by 25-bps.
FX Week Ahead - RBA Rate Decision; US ISM Services PMI; FOMC Minutes; Mexico Inflation Rate; Canada Jobs Report
The first week of April produces a relatively thin economic calendar, but there are several ‘high’ rated reports from around the world that will drive volatility.
Rising Rates And Volatility Are Features, Not Bugs: Top Trade Opportunities
The main drivers of price action in 1Q’22 will remain in place for the duration of 2Q’22.
Gold Price Forecast Q2 2022: Outlook Proves Mixed
Gold prices outperformed our expectations in Q1. Our rationale for not taking a bullish outlook on gold was well-grounded: central banks, including the Federal Reserve, have begun to wind down pandemic-era stimulus efforts.
Central Bank Watch: ECB And BOE Interest Rate Expectations Update
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to hold significant sway over how traders think the Bank of England and European Central Bank will proceed in the coming months.
Euro Technical Analysis: Consistent Narrative Forming For EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD
The Euro has been trading stronger in recent days as speculations swirls that the Russian invasion of Ukraine is close to ending.
FX Week Ahead -Chinese Manufacturing PMI; U.S. PCE Index; Eurozone Inflation Rate; U.S. NFP; U.S. ISM Manufacturing
The final week of March sees several ‘high’ rated economic releases from the world’s three largest economies: China, the Eurozone, and the United States.
Weekly Fundamental Crude Oil Price Forecast: Supply Concerns Remain Intact
Volatility in energy markets is a feature of trading conditions and won’t dissipate anytime soon. Having traded in a 38% range over the past four weeks, crude oil prices swung higher last week, adding +10.5% to its second highest close of the year.
Weekly Fundamental US Dollar Forecast: Rate Hike Odds Buoy The Buck
The US dollar shrugged off a poor performance in mid-March, closing last week higher by +0.59%, its sixth weekly gain over the past seven weeks. But the headline gain masks a more complicated story: the US dollar lost ground against most currencies.
Euro Technical Analysis: Divergence Among EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD
Buying dips in EUR/JPY may be appropriate, as would selling rallies in EUR/USD. But the chart offers no discernible direction for EUR/GBP.
FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: Fed Speeches; UK Inflation Rate; US Durable Goods Orders; US PMI; German Ifo Survey
UK inflation rates are likely to push higher, posing a test for a Bank of England that has started to take on a relatively less hawkish tone.
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