Rutgers University B.A. Economics (May 2017) Previously worked in securities fraud, misconduct and embezzlement investigations, litigation, contract compliance and other forensic services. Finance is a passion. I like to analyze, report and predict future trends.
Rutgers University B.A. Economics (May 2017) Previously worked in securities fraud, misconduct and embezzlement investigations, litigation, contract compliance and other forensic services. Finance is a passion. I like to analyze, report and predict future trends.
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The Pros & Cons Of Various Fixed Income Alternatives
According to Monetary Policy, nominal interest rates rise by more than any rise in inflation. Nonetheless, higher interest rates tend to decrease investment. Despite lower yields, periods of high inflation are followed by decreasing interest and credit spreads. This will boost investor confidence in fixed income investments and adjust market conditions.
I think that in periods of high inflation liquidity is essential, to hedge against further inflation.
US Equities To Decline This Week
November is generally a month where price levels slump and gain momentum before rallying. Markets Compass forecast is spot on, by predicting three lows before a new high.
November Will Be Crucial For Oil
Gold, Oil and the US Dollar are all international benchmarks, which have been depreciating slowly for the past few years. Appreciation in one is likely to trigger appreciation in another, however this effect may take time to settle in. Production halts will not be conducive to stabilizing market conditions, the "Invisible Hand" will eventually return the market to equilibrium. The current state of affairs looks like the calm before the storm. We can expect an up-trend from now till the end of the year, especially during the cold season.
Rough Seas Ahead For The Turkish Economy
A weaker lira innately means more expensive imports. Moreover, a drop in the price of oil may increase consumption levels, yet the weakening lira will offset this trend. In the grand scheme, high unemployment is likely to increase inflation, reduce consumption and slow-down GDP growth rates.
An increase in FDI is surely an economic stimulant, however in a time of slow-growth it is sometimes best to weather the storm. Turkey must offer domestic incentives to foreign investors in order to continue an increase in FDI. In addition, Turkey must figure out how to increase its industrial capacity, as there are resources available.
September Durable Goods Orders And Gold
Since the durable goods are elastic in the short run, an increase in the costs of production due to inflation may cause the demand for durable goods to fall, which is what is happening today. This translates to a lower investment level in the aggregate economy. This contraction is a phase of slow growth, which can be countered by an investment in real estate which can increase employment, investment and government spending. In
The Brave New World Of Integrated Fiscal And Monetary Stimulus
As of the 26th of November there still has not been a mutual agreement regarding collapsing the dual-class stock issue. Chairmen, board of directors and advisors are still open to work on a solution that is beneficial for the company and its shareholders. Although the capital structure of Forest City Realty continues to be sustainable, the dual-class ownership structure appears to be weighing down market performance.
Trends In The Saudi Arabian Economy: Rebound Imminent
The procyclical variables (GDP and inflation) are coincidentally decreasing with the current phase of economic contraction. The fact that unemployment has remained stable is a good indicator that there is no sign of recession yet. Including a VAT is a good long term fiscal policy to increase government revenue.
Considering that Saudi real estate is relatively cheaper than other countries in the Gulf, REITs can be used to create market activity in a non-oil sector.
Are We Headed For An International Recession?
It appears that slow economic growth has been catching up. The main problem, which has a domino effect on the rest of the economy, is unemployment. Increasing job growth will be extremely beneficial for all sectors and industries. Moreover, this will induce spending which will in turn boost aggregate demand. The question is: now that we are headed towards a recession, what sort of economic stimulus can be used to control contraction? Perhaps we can look to counter-cyclical leading variables where trends can be set.
Retail Sales Perk Up In September
It seems that the slow growth is picking up. Nonetheless, with job outlooks looking positive for the holiday season, I think that retail will continue to gain momentum especially now that gas prices may also be picking up.
Oil: New Balance
At the same time last year price per barrel was in a similar position ($46.64), and it hit all time low prices in January and February 2017. However, WTI and Brent charts look like they are normalizing at the $50/barrel area. Is it possible that the price stabilizes for some time before shooting up?