WSJ Economic Survey: The GDP Trajectory

Menzie Chinn
By Menzie Chinn of Econbrowser.com
Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin •

This article analyzes the WSJ Economic Survey, comparing mean GDP forecasts against CBO projections and Goldman Sachs tracking. The data visualizes the 2026 trajectory, showing how current growth trends align with long-term expectations.

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Image Source: Pexels
 

Compared against CBO, GS tracking:

Figure 1: Reported GDP (bold black), WSJ mean (red), CBO projection (tan), and GS tracking of 1/16 (light blue square), and 2023-24 stochastic trend (gray), all in bn.Ch.2017$, SAAR. Source: BEA, CBO, WSJ, and Goldman Sachs.

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