Stocks: A Triangle Pattern Is Forming

My Swing Trading Approach

I will look to add another couple of positions to the portfolio today, but hold off adding any additional positions, until the downtrend is broken.  

Indicators

  • VIX - VIX dropped off of their highs of the day, in a big way. Despite only being down 4% yesterday, the overall move lower off of its highs of the day, was much larger. VIX, like SPX is coiling. 

  • T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average): A significant move yesterday, pushed the T2108 higher by 22%. The current reading is 33%. 

  • Moving averages (SPX): Broke back above the 5, 10 and 20-day moving averages yesterday. Solid move for the index, despite low volume. The 50-day moving average will be in view today. 

Industries to Watch Today

Utilities was the market's big winner yesterday. Potential bottoming process underway in a very downtrodden sector. Consumer Cyclical lagged the most, while the other sectors traded in line with each other. Energy is putting together a double bottom, while Technology is poised for a test of its all-time highs again. 

My Market Sentiment

A triangle pattern is forming, and while yesterday's follow-through was important, the price needs to hold the trend-line underneath while breaking above the downward trend-line established off of the January highs, in order to become decisively more bullish on this market. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

swing trading strategy report 152

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 2 Long positions

Click here to download my Allocation Spreadsheet. 

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Comments

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Moon Kil Woong 7 years ago Contributor's comment

This is generally good because it shows an increasing established longer term trading range. Of course, eventful news will change the equation. A tariff trade war is the biggest concern which graphs will do little in the way of providing insight into what will happen.