• US futures showed a mixed performance on Friday, with the Dow Jones declining while the S&P 500 remained steady and Nasdaq 100 futures slightly increased.
• Investors exercised caution ahead of the upcoming US CPI report and the FOMC decision next week.
• Tesla shares rallied after news that General Motors will utilize Tesla technology for charging its electric vehicles.
• Target stocks faced a decline after a rating cut by Citigroup analysts.
• The dollar index held below 103.5, reflecting weakness in Treasury yields and expectations of a pause in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
• Weekly jobless claims rose higher than anticipated, reinforcing the likelihood of the Fed maintaining interest rates next week.
• US inflation data and interest rate decisions from the ECB and BOJ are anticipated in the coming week.

The E-mini S&P 500 demonstrates strength, rising by approximately 1% and trading at around $4341 in the European session. The market has entered a micro balanced price range after a notable surge, prompted by higher jobless claims that suggest a potential pause in the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking path.

While the current volatility indicates a bearish sentiment, the market has shown signs of absorbing the day’s highs, potentially leading to a rotational shift lower. The volume profile for the week presents a b-shaped bullish structure, with potential support near the higher distribution extreme within the lower balanced price range on the short-term perspective.

Traders should take note of the upcoming rollover to the September contract, which may introduce additional rotational behavior and a slight bullish bias for this week. It is important to consider that the June contract could foster a bullish sentiment, while the September contract might invite selling pressure for a potential pullback, contingent upon the auction process during the New York trading session. These dynamics contribute to the market’s current state of potential balanced behavior.

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