IMF, WSJ Forecasts For 2025 U.S. Growth Revised Down

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In today’s newly released IMF World Economic Outlook, 2025 Q4/Q4 growth revised down by 0.9 ppts from January. Compare against WSJ mean revised downby 1.27 ppts. GDPNow adjusted for gold imports is on track to match WSJ forecast.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Figure 1: GDP (black), IMF April WEO (dark blue square), January WEO (teal square), April WSJ (bold dark red), January (red), GDPNow of 4/17 adjusted for gold imports (green inverted triangle), all bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA, IMF, WSJ surveys, Atlanta Fed, and author’s calculations.


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