Energy Select Sector ETF XLE - Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF – XLE (1D) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Function: Major trend
Mode: Motive
Structure: Impulse wave
Position: Wave (5)
Direction: Uptrend
Details:
The wave (4) decline has found its bottom, and the current upward movement marks the early stages of wave (5).
This rally could represent either wave 1 or [i] of (5), suggesting a lengthy development.
We anticipate the rally to surpass the $97.92 high comfortably.
Although wave (4) could evolve into a more complex correction, adhering to Occam’s Razor remains the preferred approach.
Invalidation level: $74.49
(Click on image to enlarge)
SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF – XLE (4H) Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Function: Major trend
Mode: Motive
Structure: Impulse
Position: Wave iii
Direction: Rally
Details:
Wave iii has commenced and is expected to extend, with a potential leading diagonal forming.
The $76.00 level is crucial for gauging any downside movement.
The ongoing wave [2] correction should end within the highlighted Fibonacci levels.
Once the correction concludes, a rally confirmed by surpassing $83.19 should follow.
Optimal entry strategy: wait for a throwback before considering long positions.
Invalidation level: $74.49
(Click on image to enlarge)
Conclusion
The overall summary of the Elliott Wave analysis:
The 4th wave has concluded, and we are transitioning into the 5th wave, which should be impulsive and reach new highs.
$74.49 remains the critical invalidation point for any downward movement.
After a minor wave [2] pullback that does not invalidate the count, a long position is advised.
Strict compliance with Elliott Wave principles and monitoring invalidation levels are crucial to avoid unnecessary trading losses.
Technical Analyst: Simon Brooks
Source:
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