Claims Decline For A (Recent) Change

For the last several months, there has been nearly a relentless slow increase in new jobless claims. That trend broke, at least for this week. 

Initial jobless claims declined by 2,000 to 250,000. More importantly, the 4-week average also declined by 2,750 to 246,750.  Continuing claims rose 7,000 to 1,437,000, the highest since April:

(Click on image to enlarge)

Claims have been on track to turn higher YoY in November, which would signal an imminent recession; but with this week’s report that trend *may* be breaking - to the good side.


More By This Author:

July Real Retail Sales Show More Stagnation, But Slightly Positive YoY
Housing Permits, Starts, And Units Under Construction Telegraph A Deeper Economic Decline Ahead
Industrial Production Heats Up In July

Disclaimer: This blog contains opinions and observations. It is not professional advice in any way, shape or form and should not be construed that way. In other words, buyer beware.

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