Choppy But Bearish

S&P 500 turned once again decisively lower yesterday, and the slow grind to the upcoming local bottom continues on rising volume – and that‘s good. Crucially, bonds continued supporting the move – as the key trio on my watch (those always shown in bond charts), reversed intraday. Higher yields are generally supportive of the dollar and put pressure, especially on precious metals, no surprises here (been issuing mostly bearish daily outlooks in PMs for months already), with oil remaining relatively best insulated among commodities.

gold, silver and miners

Crypto is also cautious here, so there is no reason to change my medium-term prognosis for any asset class based on yesterday‘s session. Moreover, the SNAP earnings disappointed stocks, and coupled with (politely stated) mixed and weakening economic data yesterday, fueled the premarket decline that‘s likely not to be invalidated by the choppy action we‘re seeing in stocks still before the opening bell.

This is still the time to be patient while the odds continue favoring the bears medium-term. I‘ll supplement today‘s analysis with more analytical guidance over the weekend – have a great one in advance.

The levels to watch today are 3,680 for resistance, and (probably not today, but in the days ahead only) 3,595 for support. Support that‘s likely to be eventually broken because the selling pressure isn‘t slowing down materially, and bonds with the dollar continue turning up the heat.

Keep enjoying the lively Twitter feed serving you all already in, which comes on top of getting the key daily analytics right into your mailbox. Plenty gets addressed there, but the analyses (whether short or long format, depending on market action – today short) over email are the bedrock, so make sure you‘re signed up for the free newsletter and that you have Twitter notifications turned on so as not to miss any tweets or replies intraday.


More By This Author:

Slowing Down, Slowing Down
Corrective Setback
Still Elusive Rebound

Subscriber to Monica‘s Insider Club for trade calls and intraday updates. more

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments