S&P 500 celebrated the „only“ 7.1% CPI YoY news, but it was really just the real assets that kept their gains while stocks fell back to where they started from in what appears the correct big-picture view of being on the lookout to get short as betting it all on a strong Santa Claus rally has the appeal of picking up pennies in front of a steamroller without more USD retreat juice. I really liked the performance of the precious metals with miners increasingly confirming the upswing, with both metals doing increasingly well. Let alone copper and oil…

Where does that land us in stocks today? The weak follow-through has me on my toes, this inability to defend 4,070. I doubt we would overcome my long ago touted 4,130 obstacles later today as Powell dutifully delivers a no-surprise statement. The conference is a volatility wildcard.

As usual, I‘ll be covering the FOMC live on Twitter for you.

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Let‘s move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com).
 

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Outlook

In short, the bulls don‘t look to be done, but time (especially if you open the weekly chart), isn‘t on their side.
 

Gold, Silver, and Miners

Great run in silver that‘s nowhere over, and my conservative April 2023 $27 target has me itching to upgrade it over the nearest months by at least 10%. As a side note, the COMEX stockpile is at 33mln oz only (typical short squeeze territory)…
 

Crude Oil

Crude oil has duly turned as per the caption – and similarly to the positive natgas views published lately on Twitter (fine U.S. weather driver), sees black gold trying to turn a corner after a fake breakdown.

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