AGNC Investment Corp.: A Mortgage REIT That Should Benefit As The Fed Begins To Ease Policy

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For the first half of 2024, the market was led higher by a narrow group of mega-cap tech stocks as capital investment into Artificial Intelligence (AI) rose to be the center of attention. And rightly so. Now, bulls are embracing a broadening out of sector participation. I like AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) here, explains Bryan Perry, editor of Cash Machine.

The spending on AI is historic — some $200 billion alone this year that will mushroom to over $1 trillion by 2028, and possibly $2 trillion by 2030. AI is transformational progress in motion that will make the economy more efficient and companies more productive and profitable.

The good news of late is that disinflation is starting to show up in some of the economic data, which has the bond market firming up with yields coming down. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury is at 4.20%, 53 basis points lower from where it was trading in late April. Clearly, the bond market senses rate cuts by the Fed are imminent, even as the latest consumer sentiment survey shows ongoing concerns about inflation and home affordability.


AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC)

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As for AGNC Investment Corp., it is one of the largest mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (mREITs). It stands to benefit from potentially tighter mortgage spreads as fixed income volatility eases and rates begin to come down.

AGNC’s business revolves around investing in agency mortgage-backed securities. These investments are underwritten with collateralized borrowings in the form of repurchase agreements (repos). Interest is generated from the company’s investments, and the difference after paying their borrowing costs is what funds the dividends.

Investing in mREITs that borrow short-term repos and are leveraging 30-year, investment-grade, agency mortgage-backed securities in a market where yields are trending lower has historically been a winning trade, as book values tend to rise in this environment. If the Fed does embark on a streak of rate cuts over the next year, liquid government debt instruments will appreciate.

AGNC often trades at around $10.50 per share and pays a $0.12 monthly dividend, or $1.44 per year. That equates to a recent yield of 13.7%. The dividend has been stable over the past year, with the next ex-dividend date scheduled for July 31.

My recommended action would be to consider buying AGNC.


About the Author

For over a decade, Bryan Perry has brought his expertise on high-yielding investments to his Cash Machine subscribers. Before launching the Cash Machine advisory service, Bryan spent more than 20 years working as a financial adviser for major Wall Street firms, including Bear Stearns, Paine Webber, and Lehman Brothers.

Bryan co-hosted weekly financial news shows on the Bloomberg affiliate radio network from 1997 to 1999, and he's frequently quoted by ForbesBusiness Week and CBS' MarketWatch. He often participates as a guest speaker on numerous investment forums and regional money shows around the nation. With over three decades of experience inside Wall Street, Bryan has proved himself to be an asset to subscribers who are looking to receive a juicy check in the mail each month, quarter, or year.

Bryan's experience has given him a unique approach to high-yield investing: He combines his insights into dividend-paying investments with in-depth fundamental research in order to pick stocks with high dividend yields and potential capital appreciation. With his reputation for taking complex investment strategies and breaking them down to easy-to-understand advice for investors, Bryan also has several other services.

His other services range from products that generate a juicy income flow to quick capital gains by using a variety of other strategies in his Premium Income PROQuick Income TraderBreakout Profits AlertMicro-Cap Stock Trader and Hi-Tech Trader services.


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