49ers – The Stock Market Gold Standard
Image source: Pixabay
Are you ready for the ‘big game?’ Super Bowl LVIII kicks off from Vegas on Sunday evening, so as we do each year, we wanted to provide a quick summary of market returns from the Super Bowl through year-end based on different winners and other scenarios.
Starting with winning teams, if the 49ers win on Sunday, they will join the Steelers and the Patriots as the only teams to win six Super Bowls. Meanwhile, if the Chiefs win, they will be one of seven teams with four championships under their belts.
If you’re a bull, you must be hoping that Brock Purdy and the explosive 49ers offense come out on top. Following their five prior wins, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 20.2% from the Super Bowl through year-end with gains all five times.
For the Chiefs, average returns following their three wins were just a bit more than half the 49ers' average (10.9%), with gains two out of three times. For the AFC vs. NFC rivalry, it used to be that stock market performance was much stronger after NFC wins, and while the NFC still comes out on top, the gap has narrowed considerably.
We also looked at market returns from the Super Bowl through year-end based on several different scoring scenarios, and let’s just say that no matter who wins, let’s hope it’s a high-scoring blowout.
When the winner wins by 21 or more, the total score is 60 or more, the winner scores at least 35 35, or the loser scores more than 28, average returns under each scenario for the remainder of the year are above 10%. Conversely, when the winner scores 21 or less or the loser scores seven or fewer points, the average returns are either negative or barely positive. See, there’s a reason the NFL likes high-scoring games. You should, too.
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Disclaimer: Bespoke Investment Group, LLC believes all information contained in this report to be accurate, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information in this report or any ...
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