The Low Pace Of Firings Continues To Christmas

Image Source: Pexels
Our last bit of news before Christmas continued the positive news, as initial jobless claims declined back to 214,000, while the four-week average also declined to 216,750. The last three weeks collectively have had the lowest seasonally adjusted numbers since January. Meanwhile, continuing claims rose back above 1.9 million to 1.923 million.
As is usual, for forecasting purposes, the YoY% changes are more important. Here, initial claims were -2.3% lower than one year ago, the four-week average down -4.2%, and continuing claims higher by 2.2%:

Although per the recent QCEW update through Q2, as well as the recent nonfarm payrolls reports show that on net almost no hiring is happening, jobless claims tell us there is very little firing as well. This is a positive report.
More By This Author:
Strong Q3 GDP, But Long Leading Components Are Mixed; First Preliminary Positive Signs For Production In OctoberTwo Important Employment Indicators From November: One Says Continued Expansion, The Second Recession
The “Gold Standard” QCEW Through Q2 Suggests Little If Any Employment Growth This Year