Solid Gains-Small Loss
The run of gain some, give back a little continued Friday with small losses after a solid Thursday.
The S&P remained above its 50-day MA as relative performance shifted towards Small Caps, and Rate of Change moved sharply lower. Volume rose to register a distribution day. Bulls will be looking to the 1,891 spike low to hold as a swing low; if not, then 1,810 is back in play.

The Nasdaq finished with a bearish black candlestick just below resistance. Because it managed a higher close it registered an accumulation day. As with the S&P, this lead to a sharp reversal in Rate of Change, but did enjoy a relative performance gain against the S&P.

Small Caps managed to post a small gain, but it hasn't yet tagged the 50-day MA. Not surprisingly, the index enjoyed a relative advance against the Nasdaq (which is outperforming the S&P). The long term health of this bull market will be driven by Small Cap stocks and action in this index since the February low has been very good. There is little to suggest this form can't continue.

Another index to watch is the Semiconductor Index. It finished with a doji at former support turned resistance, but did manage a net bullish finish in technical strength. The easier path may be lower, but a break above rising resistance will bring the 200-day MA into play.

Friday's candles suggest Monday will be a down day (except for the Russell 2000), opening up for a challenge of the swing low last week. What happens after than will be very important. Further loses would open up 2016 swing lows.
Disclosure: None.
We aren't out of the woods yet. This still counts only as a recovery although the duration is much better than recent blips upwards. Inflation increased which is good the Fed is indication but if it remain in housing, rents, and food it is liable to push down actual consumption not increase it. It looks good on paper but it may not look good anywhere else and may actually prevent the Fed from not raising rates further. Basically, rates should rise until rents and housing stop rising meaning a real estate collapse.
Watch out banks. Higher rates may not be as good as you are telling investors.