Largest Canadian Cannabis LPs Already -6% In April; Now -22.5% YTD
The 5 largest licensed producers (LPs), as tracked in our munKNEE Canadian Cannabis LPs Index, are ranked below, in descending order, as to their:
- stock performances so far in April (i.e. MTD) and year-to-date (YTD),
- likelihood of Financial Distress within the next 2 years (according to data from macroaxis.com),
- average Wall Street analyst 12-month Price Targets (from SeekingAlpha.com),
- extent of Short Interest (the number of shorted shares divided by the number of shares outstanding),
- percentage of Insider Ownership (directors and senior officers or other beneficial holders with 10% or more of the common shares),
- percentage of Institutional Ownership, and
- current market capitalizations.
- Tilray (TLRY): DOWN 2.4% MTD; Now DOWN 7.5% YTD
- 22 analysts:
- have an average 12-month price target representing a 76% increase from its current price and
- have a consensus BUY rating.
- In addition, TLRY has:
- 68% chance of Financial Distress within 2 years,
- 9% Short Interest,
- 1.3% Insider Ownership,
- 11.4% Institutional Ownership and
- $1,560B in Market Capitalization.
- Anheuser-Busch (BUD) has a $100 million joint venture with TLRY.
- 22 analysts:
- Cronos (CRON): DOWN 5.2% MTD; Now DOWN 27.0% YTD
- 18 analysts:
- have an average 12-month price target representing a 55% increase from its current price and
- have a consensus BUY rating.
- In addition, CRON has:
- 2% chance of Financial Distress within 2 years,
- 3.7% Short Interest,
- 5.4% Insider Ownership,
- 13.1% Institutional Ownership, and
- $706M in Market Capitalization.
- Altria Group (MO) has a 45% stake in CRON
- 18 analysts:
- Aurora (ACB): DOWN 7.1% MTD; Now DOWN 27.0% YTD
- 14 analysts:
- have an average 12-month price target representing a 151% increase from its current price and
- have a consensus HOLD rating.
- In addition, ACB has:
- 78% chance of Financial Distress within 2 years,
- 8.7% Short Interest,
- 0.12% Insider Ownership,
- 21.8% Institutional Ownership, and
- $223M in Market Capitalization.
- received a Nasdaq notice on March 27th that the company is no longer in compliance with the minimum bid price requirement as the price has been below $1.00 for a period of 30 consecutive business days and has been granted a period of 180 calendar days or until September 20, 2023 to regain compliance with the minimum bid price requirement.
- 14 analysts:
- OrganiGram (OGI): DOWN 7.8% in March; Now DOWN 24.3% YTD
- 15 analysts:
- have an average 12-month price target representing a 122% increase from its current price and
- have a consensus BUY rating.
- In addition, OGI has:
- 49% chance of Financial Distress within 2 years,
- 2.1% Short Interest,
- 0.09% Insider Ownership,
- 11.3% Institutional Ownership. and
- $214 in Market Capitalization.
- British American Tobacco (BTI) has invested C$221M in a product development partnership with OGI
- 15 analysts:
- Canopy Growth (CGC): DOWN 12.6% MTD; Now DOWN 32.6% YTD
- 23 analysts:
- have an average 12-month price target representing a 68% increase from its current price and
- have a consensus SELL rating.
- In addition, CGC has:
- 53% chance of Financial Distress within 2 years,
- 16.1% Short Interest,
- 0.08% Insider Ownership,
- 13.5% Institutional Ownership, and
- $795M Market Capitalization.
- Constellation Brands (STZ) has a 39% stake in CGC.
- 23 analysts:
Summary
In total, the sum total of the above 5 constituents in the munKNEE Canadian Cannabis LPs Index have had an average price change of -6.3% MTD and are now -22.5% YTD and have an average 12-month price target representing a 79.5% increase from their current average prices.
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Disclosure: None
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