Wednesday, June 28, 2023 7:00 AM EDT
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Contrary to popular belief, the stock market's trend is not determined by interest rates, as some historical data shows.
Throughout 2023 major technology giants such as Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT) have led the stock market higher. However, a recent financial headline said that the tech sector is under pressure as Fed Chief Jerome Powell indicates that higher interest rates on are the way.
This raises a perplexing question, considering there have been instances in the past few years when the Federal Reserve signaled higher rates, yet the technology-heavy Nasdaq rallied.
Hence it is highly unlikely that interest rate fluctuations are the primary driving force behind the stock market's direction, including the technology sector.
The Dow Industrials experienced an uptrend from March 2003 to October 2007, during which interest rates also climbed. Similar patterns can be observed in decades past where stocks and interest rates rose concurrently.
If interest rates or any other external factors don't dictate the stock market, then what does?
In essence, it is investor psychology and market sentiment that holds the key.
Looking at investor psychology, and other key market indicators such as accumulation distribution, company earnings reports, and forward earnings estimates, you can forecast low-risk buy-long sell-short stock picks that include buy-sell entry, stop-loss, and take-profit area price targets.
In case the market is going against your position use a stop-loss percentage of no more than 8% or more to keep a small loss from becoming potentially a much larger loss.
In doing so you will live to trade another day with the bulk of your funds instead of taking much larger double-digit losses. A stop-loss is a tool. Use it to your long-term benefit.
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U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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