Photo by Kenny Eliason on Unsplash
 

Ford Motor Co bears the ticker symbol F, and this is my second mention of Ford for this  Viking Portfolio ( Last featured Ford  November 22) furthermore, Ford was selected for one of my previous seven dog of the week portfolios.

Ford Motor Co. manufactures automobiles under its Ford and Lincoln brands.

In March 2022, the company announced that it will run its combustion engine business, Ford Blue, and its BEV business, Ford Model e, as separate businesses but still all under Ford Motor.

The company has about 13% market share in the United States, about 6.5% share in Europe, and about 2.1% share in China including unconsolidated affiliates.

Ford expects the market share to increase as inventory improves coming out of the chip shortage. Sales in the U.S. made up about 67% of 2022 total company revenue.

Ford has about 173,000 employees, including about 57,000 UAW employees, and is based in Dearborn, Michigan,

Three key data points gauge Ford or any dividend-paying firm. They are:

(1) Price

(2) Dividends

(3) Returns

Those three basic keys best tell whether any company has made, is making, and will make money.
 

F Price

Ford’s price per share was $12.67 at Wednesday’s market close. In the past year, Ford’s share price fell $2.61, or about 17%.

If Ford Motor Co stock trades in the range of $10.00 to $16.00 this next year, its recent $12.67 share price might rise to $14.00 by next year. My upside estimate of $1.33 is  $0.25 above the median of one-year price estimates from twenty analysts tracking Ford Motor Co for brokers.
 

F Dividend

Ford’s most recent quarterly dividend of $0.15 will pay out on June 1 to shareholders of record on April 25, 2023.
 

F Returns

Adding the $0.60 annual estimated Ford dividend to my $1.33  estimated price upside reveals a $1.93 potential gross gain per share.

At Wednesday’s $12.67 closing price, a little over $1000 would buy 79 shares.

A $10 broker fee (if charged), paid half at purchase and half at the sale, might cost us $0.13 per share.

Subtracting that maybe $0.13 brokerage cost from my estimated $1.93 gross price gain estimate makes a net amount of $1.80 X 79 shares = $141.20 or a 14% net gain.

In the next year, our $1K investment in shares of Ford will generate $47.40 in dividends. Furthermore, a single share of Ford at Wednesday’s $12.67 price is nearly 4 times below the annual dividend income from $1000.00 invested.

So, by my dogcatcher ideal, this is a prime time to consider F shares, based on their dividends for 2023. The dividend from $1k invested is 3.74 times greater than Ford’s single share price. Consider yourself alerted.

All of the estimates above are speculation based on the past history of investment in shares of Ford Motor Co. Only time and money invested in this stock will determine its future market value.

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