IMF World Economic Outlook October Forecast Out

Time, Time Management, Stopwatch, Industry, Economy

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From the report, faster growth in the world, US – but US level below pre-Trump trend:

 

Figure 1: GDP as reported (bold black), IMF October WEO (teal triangle), WSJ (tan), FT-Booth (purple circle), CBO (blue), GDPNow (light blue square), 2023-24 stochastic trend (gray), all in bn.Ch2017$, SAAR. 2026Q4 WSJ mean is for q4/q4 growth. Source: BEA, IMF, WSJ, FT-Booth, CBO, Atlanta Fed, and author’s calculations.
 

The IMF seems close to the WSJ survey mean, at least through 2025, as well as the FT-Booth median.


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