Daily Stock Analysis: BAE Systems (BAESY)

BAE Systems PLC, known by the ticker symbol BAESY, is a large cap Aerospace and Defense Firm, operating in the Industrials business sector. This is my first ever report on BAESY for this Viital stock portfolio, or any of my previous six portfolios

BAE Systems is a British global defense company. BAE has a dominant position in the U.K., is a top-six supplier to the U.S. Department of Defense, and has a strong presence in key defense markets (eg. Saudi Arabia and Australia). 

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Exposure to programs is well diversified. BAE derives 45% of sales from services and support and 35% from major programs such as the F-35 Lightning II and Eurofighter Typhoon fighter jets. 

The balance of sales is derived from electronic systems and cyber intelligence.

The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Farnborough, the United Kingdom.

Three key data points gauge any dividend equity or fund such as BAE Systems PLC (BAESY):

(1) Price

(2) Dividends

(3) Returns

Those three basic keys best tell whether any company has made, is making, and will make money. 

BAESY Price

BAE's price per share was $31.32 as of yesterday's market close. One year ago its price was $26.83. Therefore BAESY's share price rose $4.49 or just over 16.7% in the past year.

If BAE's stock trades in the range of $24.00 to $34.00 this next year, it's recent $31.32. share price might rise by $1.23 to reach $32.55 by January 12, 2023. This estimate is based on the average 1 year BAE price increases over the past ten years.

BAESY Dividends

BAE's most recent semi-annual dividend of  $0.5241 was paid to shareholders on December 7th to those of record on October 21st. That SA dividend payout, added to the previous, amounts to $1.33 annually and yields 4.26% per yesterday's $31.32. closing price. 

BAE Systems PLC (BAESY) has paid variable semiannual dividend payouts since December 8, 2003. That stretch came to 18 years last month.

BAESY Returns

Adding the $1.33 annual estimated BAESY forward-looking dividend to the ten-year average share-price increase of $1.23  shows a $2.56 potential gross gain, per share, to be reduced by any costs to trade BAESY shares.  

At yesterday's $31.32 price per share, a little over $1000 would buy 32 shares.

A $10 broker fee (if charged) would be paid half at purchase and half at sale and might cost us about $0.310 per share.

Subtract that maybe $0.31 brokerage cost from my estimated $2.56 gross gain per share results in a net gain of $2.25 X 32 shares = $72.00 for a 7.2% net gain on a $1,002.24 investment.

So it is that BAE Systems PLC (BAESY) shows a possible 7.2% net gain including a 4.26% forward estimated dividend yield. 

Over the next year at this time, a $1000 investment in BAE Systems PLC (BAESY) could generate $42.60 in cash dividends alone. Note that a single share of BAESY stock bought at yesterday's closing price was $31.32. Therefore, BAE's share price is over 30 less than the dividend income from $1000.00 invested. So, by my dogcatcher ideal, now is prime time to pick up BAE Systems PLC (BAESY)  shares. The estimated next-year dividend from $1K invested is over 1.36 times more than BAE's single share price. Consider yourself alerted. It's a sign!  

All of the estimates above are speculation based on the past history of BAE Systems PLC (BAESY). Only time and money invested in this stock will determine its market value.

Disclaimer:  This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to constitute investment advice. Nothing contained herein shall constitute a ...

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