Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Dec. 8 And 15
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
| Week of December 8 | |||
| December 8 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - September | -$64.0B | -59.6 | |
| International Trade in Goods - October | -$65.0B | ||
| December 9 | |||
| NFIB Small Business Optimism Index -November | 98.2 | 98.2 | |
| Productivity - Q3 (r) | 3.5% | 3.3 | |
| Unit Labor Costs | 1.3 | ||
| JOLTS-September | 7.200M | 7.227 | |
| JOLTS-October | 7.200 | ||
| December 10 | |||
| Employment Cost Index | 0.9% | 0.9 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - October (p) | 0.2% | 0.0 | |
| Wholesale Sales | |||
| FOMC | 3.625 | 3.875 | |
| Treasury Budget - November | -$225.0B | -284.4 | |
| December 11 | Sept | ||
| Producer Price Index - November | 0.3% | 0.3 | |
| PPI less food, energy and trade services | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 215K | 191 | |
| Week of December 15 | |||
| December 15 | |||
| NY Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.0 | 18.7 | |
| NAHB Index | 38 | 38 | |
| December 16 | |||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - October | -5K | 119 | |
| Private | 45 | 97 | |
| Manufacturing | -5 | -6 | |
| Unemployment | 4.7% | 4.4 | |
| Average Workweek | 34.1HR | 34.2 | |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3% | 0.3 | |
| Nonfarm Payrolls - November | 35K | ||
| Private | 40 | ||
| Core Private* | |||
| Unemployment | 4.4% | ||
| Average Workweek | 34.1HR | ||
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3% | ||
| Industrial Production - November | 0.2% | 0.1 | |
| Capacity Utilization | 0.1 | 0 | |
| Manufacturing | 75.9 | 75.9 | |
| Retail Sales - October | 0.3% | 0.2 | |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
| Business Inventories - September | 0.1% | 0.2 | |
| December 18 | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | 2.2 | -1.7 | |
| Consumer Price Index - October | 0.3% | 0.3 | |
| Core CPI | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Energy | |||
| Consumer Price Index - November | 0.3% | ||
| Core CPI | 0.2 | ||
| Energy | |||
| December 19 | |||
| Existing Home Sales - November | 4.100M | 4.100 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - December (r) | 53.3 | 53.3 | |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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