EUR/USD Daily Outlook – Friday, May 1

Thursday gave us a break out from the range in which price has stalled over the last few days. The ascending triangle that formed on the H4 time frame can be seen as a sign of a bullish pressure.

The definition of an ascending triangle says that the triangle has lower lows and highs stalling on one level. Lower lows tells us that the price is pushed up. Highs are stalling on one level which is hard to break and building pressure for a break up. In our case the level for highs was at 1.08846.

Before breaking up from the ascending triangle, the price pulled back below the trend line, which was a false break. After a false break downwards, the price moved up and now is heading towards a resistance level at 1.09860.

I have drawn trend lines to show how the market could move in the next few days.

After breaking up, the price stalled on the next support level at 1.09371 and from there we will see where it will move.

As it looks now we could see the price moving to a previous high level at 1.09860 from where we could see small pullback because of buyers cashing out. Before making that pullback we could see price making a pullback to 1.09028 level and then continue moving up.

While there is a large H4 candle that has made a breakout, the price could hold direction and continue moving up.

If there is no price action signal toward a bear direction when the price reaches the 1.09860 level, the next resistance level is at 1.10373.

Have in mind that today is Friday and some of the usual price action strategies will not work as they should because it is a day when traders are moving out of the market.

Disclaimer: Any Advice or information is General Advice Only – It does not take into account your personal circumstances, please do not trade or invest based solely on this information. By ...

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Adam Reynolds 4 years ago Member's comment

Yes, being Friday, we'll have to wait and see what happens next.