EUR/GBP Jumps Closer To Mid-0.8300s, Upside Potential Seems Limited

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  • EUR/GBP gains some positive traction after comments from ECB’s Pierre Wunsch.
  • Bets for more aggressive ECB rate cuts might keep a lid on any meaningful gains.
  • Traders also prefer to wait for the German and Eurozone CPI reports later this week. 

The EUR/GBP cross attracts some buyers following an intraday dip to the 0.8315 region at the start of a new week and reverses a major part of Friday's modest decline. Spot prices climb to a fresh daily high during the first half of the European session and currently trade around the 0.8340 area, up just over 0.10% for the day. 

The shared currency gets a minor lift following comments from the European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Pierre Wunsch, saying that a temporary and small undershoot of the inflation target due to energy price swings is acceptable. Wunsch added that it is premature to discuss the December policy decision and that there is no urgency in further accelerating the easing of monetary policy. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor offering some support to the EUR/GBP cross. 

Apart from this, the uptick could be attributed to some technical buying in the vicinity of the 0.8300 pivotal support, which has been acting as a strong base for spot prices since late September. Any meaningful upside, however, seems elusive in the wake of bets for more aggressive interest rate cuts by the ECB, bolstered by a fall in the Eurozone consumer inflation below the central bank's 2% target for the first time since June 2021 and sluggish economic growth.

The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, might continue to draw support from expectations that the Bank of England's (BoE) rate-cutting cycle is more likely to be slower than in the Eurozone. This might further contribute to capping the upside for the EUR/GBP cross in the absence of any relevant economic data. Traders might also prefer to wait for this week's release of flash German and Eurozone CPI prints on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.


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