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The rise in WTI crude prices reflects the ongoing supply concerns, particularly with the lingering effects of Hurricane Francine and the disruption in production from both the US Gulf of Mexico and Libya. These supply-side issues are helping to prop up prices, despite broader concerns about demand.

The anticipation of a larger 50-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve also seems to be fueling optimism in the oil market, as lower rates could stimulate economic activity and potentially increase oil demand. However, the tempered gains due to weaker demand growth in China highlight the ongoing fragility of the global oil market. China’s sluggish recovery, as the world’s largest oil consumer, remains a key factor that could limit further price increases.

Overall, while supply concerns are currently driving oil prices higher, the demand outlook, particularly from China, will likely continue to play a pivotal role in determining the longer-term direction of the market.

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