Softs Report - Tuesday, June 29

General Comments: Futures were a little higher yesterday and continued to break out higher on the daily charts. Ideas that crops in the Delta were hurt by the recent big rains provided the best support. Cotton growing conditions have improved in the last couple of weeks with rains reported in West Texas and perhaps flooding rains the Delta. The Southeast missed the biggest rains and East Texas has been dry. West Texas is expected to dry down this week but the Delta could get some big storms. Some scattered showers are in the forecast in the Southeast. Production ideas are being impacted in just about all areas due to the weather extremes.
Overnight News: The Delta will get scattered showers late this week and near-normal temperatures and Southeast will get scattered showers and near to below normal temperatures. Texas will have scattered showers and below normal temperatures. The USDA average price is now 84.16 ct/lb. ICE said that certified stocks are now 165,924 bales, from 165,025 bales yesterday. ICE said that 0 notices were posted for July delivery and that total deliveries for the month are now 115 contracts.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are mixed to up with objectives of 8790 and 9040 December. Support is at 8600, 8540, and 8410 December, with resistance of 8750, 8850 and 8930 July.

General Comments: FCOJ closed lower yesterday and chart trends are still mixed on the daily charts. The weekly chart trends are mixed, but futures did hold key support. The hurricane season is here and a big storm could threaten trees and fruit. An active season is anticipated but that does not mean a big and damaging storm is coming. It does mean that the market will be on alert if one does show up. Storms from the Gulf of Mexico have gone north of the state in the past couple of weeks. Brazil is reported to be in good condition. Mexican crop conditions in central and southern areas are called good with rains, but earlier dry weather might have hurt production. It is dry in northern and western Mexican growing areas but there is some potential for some rains soon.
Overnight News: Florida should get scattered showers. Temperatures will average near normal. Brazil should get mostly dry conditions or isolated showers and above normal temperatures.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed. Support is at 115.00, 113.00, and 112.00 July, with resistance at 120.00, 122.00, and 126.00 July.

General Comments: New York closed sharply higher once again yesterday and shows up trends on the daily charts. London was also higher and continued its recent up move. It turned cooler and drier in Brazil over the weekend but there were no reports of damage. The move in New York comes as the Brazil crop is coming to the market. It looks like demand is moderate for Robusta these days, and the offers are starting to increase as the Arabica harvest is expanding in Brazil. Drier conditions are in the forecast for Brazil Coffee areas this week. Good conditions are reported in northern South America and good conditions reported in Central America. Colombia is having trouble exporting Coffee right now due to protests inside the country. Conditions are reported to be generally good in Asia and Africa.
Overnight News: ICE-certified stocks are lower today at 2.178 million bags. The ICO daily average price is now 144.24 ct/lb. Brazil will get mostly dry conditions with below normal temperatures. Central America will get scattered showers. Vietnam will see scattered showers. ICE said that 0 contracts were posted for delivery today against NY July futures and that total deliveries for the month are now 332 contracts.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are up with objectives of `168.00 September. Support is at 158.00, 155.00, and 153.00 September, and resistance is at 165.00, 168.00, and 171.00 September. Trends in London are up with objectives of 1730 September. Support is at 1620, 1600, and 1580 September, and resistance is at 1720, 1730, and 1760 September.

General Comments: New York and London were higher again and prices are trying to break out higher. New York has led the charge higher as UNICA showed less Sugarcane harvesting and less processing by mills than expected. Sugarcane harvesting was slow due to rains in the harvest area. It has turned cold and dry in these areas this week. Mills were also processing for more Ethanol and less for Sugar than expected. London has been the leader to the downside on ample supplies of White Sugar available to the market and forecasts for improved growing conditions in Brazil. There is plenty of White Sugar available in India for the market and monsoon rains are promoting good conditions for the next crop. Southern growing areas of Brazil are getting some beneficial showers, with Parana and parts of Sao Paulo getting the best rains. Thailand is expecting improved production. Sugar demand is said to be weak. Ethanol demand is returning to the market as more world economies open up after the pandemic.
Overnight News: Brazil will get mostly dry conditions. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are up with objectives of 1830 October. Support is at 1790, 1690, and 1670 October, and resistance is at 1760, 1790, and 1810 October. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 426.00, 416.00, and 413.00 August, and resistance is at 435.00, 440.00, and 450.00 August.

General Comments: New York and London closed lower. The daily charts show mixed trends in both markets. The harvests are over in West Africa and ports there have been filled with Cocoa. The weather has had above-average rains in West Africa. European demand has been slow and demand ideas, in general, are weak. The supplies are there for any increased demand.
Overnight News: Isolated showers are forecast for West Africa. Temperatures will be near to above normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see showers. Temperatures should average above normal. Brazil will get mostly dry conditions and near to above normal temperatures. ICE certified stocks are higher today at 5.790 million bags. ICE said that 0 contracts were posted for July delivery and that total deliveries for the month are now 231 contracts.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 2320, 2300, and 2280 September, with resistance at 2410, 2430, and 2480 September. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 1600, 1590, and 1570 September, with resistance at 1640, 1650, and 1670 September.

Disclaimer: A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in ...

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