Softs Report - Thursday, April 18

COTTON
General Comments: Cotton was lower on weaker demand ideas. The export sales report showed poor dales once again. USDA made no changes to the domestic supply or demand sides of the balance sheets, but did cut world ending stocks slightly. Trends are still down on the daily and weekly charts. Demand has been weaker so far this year. The US economic data has been positive, but the Chinese economic data has not been real positive and demand concerns are still around. However, Chinese consumer demand has held together well, leading some to think that demand for Cotton in world markets will increase over time.
Overnight News: The Delta will get showers and rains and near normal temperatures. The Southeast will see showers and rains and near normal temperatures. Texas will have mostly dry conditions and near normal temperatures.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are down with objectives of 77.20 May. Support is at 78.90, 77.40, and 76.80 May, with resistance of 82.80, 84.30 and 86.20 May.

Coffee Beans, Coffee Cup, Cup, Coffee, Benefit From

Image Source: Pixabay


FCOJ
General Comments: FCOJ closed a little lower yesterday and remains in thr middle of a trading range. The move came in reaction to the latest USDA reports that showed less production. Florida production is now estimated at 18.8 million boxes, from 19.8 million last month. Reports of tight supplies are around. Florida said that Oranges production will be low, but above a year ago. Futures still appear to have topped out even with no real downtrend showing yet, so a range trade has been seen. Prices had been moving lower on the increased production potential for Florida and the US and in Brazil but is now holding as current supplies remain very tight amid only incremental relief for supplies is forecast for the coming new crop season. There are no weather concerns to speak of for Florida or for Brazil right now. The weather has improved in Brazil with some moderation in temperatures and increased rainfall amid reports of short supplies in Florida and Brazil are around but will start to disappear as the weather improves and the new crop gets harvested.
Overnight News: Florida should get scattered showers or dry conditions. Temperatures will average near normal. Brazil should get scattered showers and above normal temperatures.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed. Support is at 350.00, 347.00, and 353.00 May, with resistance at 380.00, 389.00, and 391.00 May.


COFFEE
General Comments: Both markets closed sharply higher again yesterday and both show up trends on the daily charts. The lack of Robusta Coffee in the market is still the main feature. Robusta offers from Vietnam remain difficult to find and the lack of offer of Robusta is a bullish force behind the London market action. There were some indications that Vietnam producers were now offering a little Coffee, but not much and not nearly enough to satisfy demand. Vietnamese producers are reported to have about a quarter of the crop left to sell or less and reports indicate that Brazil producers are reluctant sellers for now after selling a lot earlier in the year. The next Robusta harvest in Brazil is starting now and offers increased yesterday on weakness in the Real.
Overnight News: The ICO daily average price is now 235.50 ct/lb. Brazil will get mostly scattered showers with near normal temperatures. Central America will get mostly dry conditions. Vietnam will see scattered showers
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are up with no objectives. Support is at 235.00, 219.00, and 214.00 May, and resistance is at 250.00, 253.00 and 256.00 May. Trends in London are up with no objectives. Support is at 3980, 3950, and 3760 May, with resistance at 4240, 4270, and 4300 May.


SUGAR
General Comments: New York and London closed lower once again yesterday and trends are down on the charts as the market seems to have supplies available for sale. There are still ideas that the Brazil harvest can be strong for the next few weeks if not longer. Indian production estimates are creeping higher but are still reduced from recent years. There are worries about the Thai and Indian production, but data shows better than expected production from both countries. Offers from Brazil are still active but other origins. are still not offering in large amounts except for Ukraine. Ukraine offers have suffered lately with the war. Demand reports from Europe have been strong.
Overnight News: Brazil will get rains in the south and scattered showers in the north. Temperatures should average above normal. India will get mostly dry conditions and below normal temperatures.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with no objectives. Support is at 1910, 1880, and 1860 July and resistance is at 1860, 2000, and 2050 July. Trends in London are down with objectives of 567.00 August. Support is at 555.00, 550.00, and 545.00 August, with resistance at 574.00, 580.00, and 589.00 August.


COCOA
General Comments: New York and London were higher afain yesterday and trends are up. Production concerns in West Africa as well as demand from nontraditional sources along with traditional buyers keep supporting futures. Production in West Africa could be reduced this year due to the extreme weather which included Harmattan conditions. The availability of Cocoa from West Africa remains very restricted and projections for another production deficit against demand for the coming year are increasing. Ideas of tig8ht supplies remain based on more reports of reduced arrivals in Ivory Coast and Ghana continue. Mid crop harvest is now underway and here are hopes for additional supplies for the market from the second harvest. Demand continues to be strong, especially from nontraditional buyers of Cocoa.
Overnight News: Isolated showers are forecast for West Africa. Temperatures will be near normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see scattered showers. Temperatures should average near normal. Brazil will get isolated showers and above normal temperatures.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are up with objectives of 11890 May. Support is at 10100, 10000, and 9630 May, with resistance at 11200, 11320, and 11440 May. Trends in London are mixed to up with no objectives. Support is at 8550, 8080, and 7930 May, with resistance at 9320, 9440, and 9560 May.


More By This Author:

Grains Report - Wednesday, April 17
Softs Report - Tuesday, April 16
Grains Report - Monday, April 15

Disclaimer: A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.