Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Stays Above $24 Despite Retreating From Weekly Highs

Silver price is trading below its opening price by around 0.37%, though it stays above the $24.00 threshold. Falling US Treasury bond yields and a soft US Dollar (USD) are two reasons for XAG/USD’s rise. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD exchanges hands at $24.01.

The sentiment is deteriorating. US equities fluctuated after the S&P and the ISM Manufacturing PMIs, showing that business activity in the US is contracting. Recessionary fears are rising, and tighter lending conditions are weighing on businesses.

Therefore, safe-haven flows towards the precious metal segment, maintaining Silver prices nearby yearly highs. US Treasury bond yields are collapsing as investors have begun to price in a less aggressive US Federal Reserve (Fed), even though an official estimates rates above 5%.

The St Louis Fed President James Bullard said that the Fed needs to raise rates above 5% and emphasized that his forecast is above the median. Bullard commented that OPEC’s cutting oil output would make the Fed’s work “difficult.”

The US Dollar Index, a measure of the buck’s performance vs. six peers, tumbles 0.41%, at 102.168.

Another reason that keeps the commodity prices higher is the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies’ (OPEC+) decision to reduce oil production by 1 million barrels, which led to a boost in oil prices.


XAG/USD Technical analysis

(Click on image to enlarge)

XAG/USD Daily chart

Silver’s uptrend remains intact, though testing a four-month-old resistance trendline that passes around $24.20-30. Although it opened the door for a pullback, oscillators suggest the bias remains bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is exiting overbought conditions, giving buyers a respite. At the same time, the Rate of Change (RoC), portrays that buyers remain in control but take a pause.

IF the XAG/USD breaks $24.20, it will exacerbate a test of the YTD high at $24.63, followed by the $25.00 figure. On the other hand, a daily close below $24.00 could open the door for a pullback toward the March 24 high of $23.52.


More By This Author:

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Keeps The Red Below $24.00, Downside Seems Cushioned
OPEC Producers Announce Voluntary Oil Output Cuts
AUD/USD Stumbled On Expectations For A Fed Pivot After Softer US Inflation Data

Disclaimer: Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only ...

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