Grains Report - Wednesday, July 28

WHEAT
General Comments: Winter Wheat markets were mixed yesterday as SRW closed a little lower and HRW and HRS closed a bit higher. It is still forecast to be hot and dry in the Great Plains and Canadian Prairies for the next couple of weeks. The market is hearing about too wet weather in China and Europe and dry conditions in southern Russia and Kazakhstan. It has been very cold in South America and the winter crops are in trouble in Brazil and Paraguay. US White Winter Wheat production is also being hurt and impacted by drought and heat this year. Yield reports have generally been good in Winter Wheat areas but there have been mixed results reported in some Great Plains states. Quality has been generally good. Europe has had too much rain and Russia and Kazakhstan have had too little. World prices might have bottomed and should start to move higher, supporting Wheat futures markets in the US.
Overnight News: The southern Great Plains should get scattered showers. Temperatures should be near normal. Northern areas should see mostly isolated showers. Temperatures will be above normal. The Canadian Prairies should see isolated showers. Temperatures should average above normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed. Support is at 666, 658, and 648 September, with resistance at 690, 700, and 718 September. Trends in Kansas City are mixed. Support is at 631, 619, and 613 September, with resistance at 655, 660, and 674.

assorted food in sacks

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RICE
General Comments: Rice closed lower again as the harvest is starting in Texas and southern Louisiana. Both areas have been wet and cloudy and average at best yields are expected. Ideas of average yields at best are also heard in Arkansas. The market expects smaller production this year due to reduced planted area and some weather extremes seen through the growing season to date. Growing conditions have been mixed at best with many areas getting too much rain. Rice areas have generally been wet. Export demand has been disappointing and Asian prices are trending lower.
Overnight News: The Delta should get isolated showers. Temperatures should be near to below normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed to up with objectives of 1366, 1372, and 1398 September. Support is at 1344, 1340, and 1334 September, with resistance at 1362, 1371, and 1380 September.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn was a little lower as Crude Oil rallied. The growing conditions in the US are highly variable and not likely to produce trend line yields. Traders are reducing yield estimates from the USDA report of 179.5 bushels per acre to more like 174 bushels per acre and ideas are that more adverse weather could drive yields lower. No one is talking much about increasing yield estimates right now. Ideas are that Brazil Corn production will be less than 90 million tons so reduced production estimates are expected in coming reports. Oats were higher once again. Canadian Oats areas and those in the northern Great Plains remain too hot and dry. Longer range forecasts released by NWS call for warmer and drier weather for many important US growing areas this Summer.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed.. Support is at 545, 537, and 535 September, and resistance is at 564, 568, and 5975 September. Trends in Oats are up with objectives of 483 September. Support is at 462, 455, and 450 September, and resistance is at 470, 473, and 476 September.

SOYBEANS
General Comments: Soybeans and Soybean Oil were a little lower as Crude Oil also moved lower due to macro concerns caused by Chinese actions in its markets. China moved against technology companies inside the country and caused selling in the stock markets around the world and in Crude Oil. Soybean Meal was higher on spreads against Soybean Oil. There are many areas that do not have good Soybeans in the US. Soybeans conditions in central production area are often too wet and have suffered. The weather forecasts changed to wetter and cooler and the crop needs dry conditions and some heat . Minnesota and northern Iowa and the Dakotas have been very hot and dry but Iowa got very beneficial rain last week. Forecasts call for warmer weather this week in the Midwest and northern Great Plains, and it should generally be dry. Warmer and drier outlooks are offered through at least the end of this month. The longer range forecasts from NWS call for warmer and drier than normal conditions for most Soybeans areas of the US.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed to down with objectives of 1375 and 1321 August. Support is at 1391, 1382, and 1354 August, and resistance is at 1450, 1480, and 1492 August. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed. Support is at 351.00, 347.00, and 341.00 August, and resistance is at 361.00, 371.00, and 375.00 August. Trends in Soybean Oil mixed. Support is at 6570, 61440, and 6380 August, with resistance at 6720, 6820, and 6970

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil futures were sharply lower on what was called speculative long liquidation. The private surveyors showed a little less demand for the current month in reports issued this week. Canola closed a little lower along with Chicago price action. Trends are still up longer term but are mixed short term and weather concerns continue. It remains generally dry and is turning warmer in the Prairies. The showers last week have a chance to be very beneficial as the Prairies crops are in big trouble now due to previous hot and dry weather.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed. Support is at 856.00, 844.00, and 836.00 November, with resistance at 932.00, 949.00, and 953.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are up with no objectives. Support is at 4290, 4200, and 4140 October, with resistance at 4480, 4720, and 4780 October.
Midwest Weather Forecast: Isolated showers north and west, showers and storms south and east. Temperatures should average near normal.

Disclaimer: A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in ...

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