Grains Report - Thursday, Oct. 9

WHEAT

General Comments: Wheat closed slightly higher in quiet trading yesterday.  It remains too dry in Winter Wheat areas and too wet in Spring Wheat areas of Russia, but crop size ideas are expected to increase due to reports of big yields in Spring Wheat growing areas.  A French government report showed plenty of production but lower quality.  Rains have been good in the northern Great Plains and Canada, but western areas have been a little too dry for best yield potential and the northern Plains had hot and dry areas earlier in the year.  It was hot again in the Great plains last weekend.  Southern hemisphere crops appear to be good and Australia estimates that production this year will be high and potentially a record.

Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed to down.  Support is at 502, 499 and 493 December, with resistance at 532, 535, and 543 December.  Trends in Kansas City are mixed to down.  Support is at 484, 478, and 472 December, with resistance at 501, 507, and 515 December. Trends in Minneapolis are not available.

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RICE

General Comments: Rice was lower and closed at new lows for the move for one more day yesterday. The harvest is wrapping up in Texas and southern Louisiana.  Harvest is starting to wrap up in Mississippi and Arkansas.  Yields and quality are mixed, but quality appears better than a year ago.  The cash market has been slow with low bids from buyers in domestic markets and average or less export demand.  Louisiana reports good but not great yields and quality. Milling quality of the old crop Rice remains below industry standards and it takes more Rough Rice to create the grain for sale to stores and exporters.

Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed to down.  Support is at 1064, 1052, and 1040 November and resistance is at 1098, 1126, and 1145 November.


CORN AND OATS

General Comments: Corn was a little higher yesterday with the government still closed and USDA reports cancelled for now.  The crop is maturing and the harvest is expanding.  There are ideas that US production might not be super strong due to disease such as rust to offset the demand losses.  Temperatures should average near to below normal this week and there are forecasts for scattered showers.  Most of the western Midwest has seen adequate or greater precipitation and production ideas are high.  Areas east of the Mississippi River have been very dry for the last month or more.  Demand for Corn in world markets remains moderate to strong.  Oats were lower.

Overnight News:

Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed.  Support is at 411, 408, and 405 December, and resistance is at 424, 428, and 431 December.  Trends in Oats are down.  Support is at 283, 277, and 271 December, and resistance is at 300, 308, and 311 December.


SOYBEANS

General Comments: Soybeans and Soybean Oil closed higher as the market remains optimistic that Trump and Xi will reach a deal at the end of the month. Soybean Meal was a little lower.  President Trump said that he plans to talk to President Xi of China about Chinese purchase of US Soybeans, but reports indicate that their meeting of the two leaders at the end of the month will be brief if the meeting happens at all.  There are still no indications that China was changing its trade policies and shown no interest in buying US ag products.  Forecasts call for a little rain to be seen in the Midwest this week.  Cool and dry weather has been seen recently in the Midwest.  The dry weather could hurt pod fill and bean size.  Argentina has removed taxes on Soybeans exports and China immediately bought up to 40 cargoes.  China has not bought US Soybeans yet and traders are worried that demand for the new crop will be a lot less this year. Good growing conditions continue in the Midwest with cool and mostly dry weather in the forecast.  Prices are still higher in Brazil, but China and other buyers are still buying there for political reasons.  Export demand remains less for US Soybeans as China has been taking almost all the export from South America due to the Trump tariff regime.

Analysis:  Trends in Soybeans are mixed to up.  Support is at 994, 981, and 970 November, and resistance is at 1029, 1036, and  1042 November.  Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed.  Support is at 271.00, 268.00, and 265.00 December, and resistance is at 282.00, 286.00, and 290.00 December.  Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed.  Support is at 4920, 4890, and 4770 December, with resistance at 5220, 5390, and 5480 December.


PALM OIL AND CANOLA

General Comments: Palm Oil futures were higher yesterday.  Reports of weaker production and strong export demand and the price action in Chicago were positive for futures. Canola was higher after starting the day lower.  Concerns remain about demand potential.  The Canadian government is moving now to support farmers in the face of the Chinese demand loss and also in the face of the Trump tariffs.  Trends are mixed to down on the daily charts and on the weekly charts.

Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed.  Support is at 596.00, 590.00, and 584.00 November, with resistance at 630.00, 640.00, and 653.00 November.  Trends in Palm Oil are mixed to down.  Support is at 4450, 4390, and 4340 December, with resistance at 4580, 4620, and 4680 December.


More By This Author:

Softs Report - Wednesday, Oct. 8
Grains Report - Tuesday, Oct. 7
Softs Report - Friday, Oct. 3

Disclaimer: A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in ...

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