Grains Report - Thursday, Aug. 30
WHEAT
General Comments: Wheat was higher in all three markets on stable overseas prices reported in Russia and Europe and the wrap up of the Wheat harvest and reports of reduced cash movement here in the US. Crop condition ratings were lower for the Spring Wheat traded in Minneapolis. US harvest progress and ideas of good crops went against reports of dry weather in eastern Europe and Russia and too wet weather in France and Germany along with Spring Wheat areas of Russia are still heard and the weather there affecting world production estimates. There were more reports of dry conditions coming this week to Russian growing areas although Spring Wheat areas have seen too much rain. Eastern Europe is also hot and dry. Western Europe has seen too much rain.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are down with no objectives. Support is at 496, 490, and 484 September, with resistance at 524, 536, and 548 September. Trends in Kansas City are mixed. Support is at 525, 512, and 506 September, with resistance at 559, 567, and 579 September. Trends in Minneapolis are down with no objectives. Support is at 538, 532, and 526 September, and resistance is at 584, 601, and 613 September.
RICE
General Comments: Rice closed mostly a little higher yesterday with September closing lower on what appeared to be speculator selling in September before First Notice Day. The US weather has been an issue much of the growing season with too much rain early in the year. Some areas are now too hot and dry, especially in Texas, and Texas yields are down as a result as the harvest moves forward. However, planted area has increased from last year
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed. Support is at 1500, 1494, and 1471 September and resistance is at 1544, 1566, and 1571 September
CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn and Oats closed lower as hot weather retreated and rain was reported in parts of the Midwest. The heat is passing but dry weather is still in the forecast after a few showers pass by late this week. Ideas of very strong yields are still heard. Increased US demand comes from the fact that Corn prices are already the cheapest in the world. Current forecasts call for cooler and drier weather for the Midwest for the next week or longer.
Overnight News: China bought 118,000 tons odf US Sorghum.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are down with no objectives. Support is at 361, 358, and 355 September, and resistance is at 374, 378, and 4385 September. Trends in Oats are mixed. Support is at 321, 313, and 308 September, and resistance is at 348, 358, and 364 September
SOYBEAN
General Comments: Soybeans and the products were lower yesterday on speculative selling generated by big rains in the Chicago area and better than expected rains in northern Illinois and northern Indiana. Stronger demand news and First Notice Day coming on Friday were reasons to trade the market. There is also concern about the hot and dry weather seen in the Midwest early this week that could hurt pod fill. The weather is turning cooler now but it should remain dry after a few more showers hit late this week. Next week should be dry and cooler amid dry weather and western and Delta areas should stay warm and dry. Reports indicate that China is buying a lot in the US. Domestic demand has been strong in the US.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed. Support is at 939, 928, and 916 September, and resistance is at 973, 1007, and 1018 September. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed. Support is at 302.00, 300.00, and 297.00 September, and resistance is at 323.00, 325.00, and 329.00 September. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed. Support is at 3970, 3860, and 3800 September, with resistance at 4220, 4260, and 4360 September.
PALM OIL AND CANOLA
General Comments: Palm Oil was higher today on hopes of improving demand as Indonesia intends to increase its use of Palm Oil in its biofuels blends and increase biofuels to 40% of consumption. It could become 50% if the new president gets his way. Production reports indicate that the increase in production is less than expected at this time. Reports indicate that production is rising as well. Export demand has been very strong in recent private reports but has been weaker in recent days. There is talk of increased supplies available to the market, and the trends are down on the daily charts. Canola was lower and trends remain up on ideas of reduced supplies even with the harvest starting soon. The weather has been hot and dry in Canada and it looks like Canola production has been impacted. The weather has called for dry conditions in the Prairies and yields are expected to be the same or less.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are up with no objectives. Support is at 590.00, 581.00, and 575.00 November, with resistance at 607.00, 617.00, and 629.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed to up with no objectives. Supp with no objectives. Support is at 3900, 3850, and 3820 November, with resistance at 3990, 4020, and 4090 November.
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