WTI Crude Oil and Natural Gas Forecast - Tuesday, August 15

The WTI Crude Oil market initially tried to rally during the session on Monday, but fell rather precipitously, breaking through the bottom of a hammer from the Friday session.

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market initially tried to rally during the session on Monday, but fell rather precipitously, breaking through the bottom of a hammer from the Friday session. That being the case, the market looks as if it is going to go down to the $47 level. A breakdown below there should send this market to the $45.50 level as well. This market seems to be rolling over as we have seen more than once, and I think that the downward channel may be continuing yet again. If we broke above the $50 level, that would of course be a very bullish sign and could turn everything around. Ultimately, I believe that the market should continue to be bearish and therefore I look at short-term rallies that show signs of exhaustion as a nice opportunity to start shorting again.

Crude oil

Natural Gas

The natural gas markets initially gapped higher at the open on Monday and then fell apart. Because of this, I think that the market is getting ready to fall, and a break below the bottom of the range for the day should send this market towards the $2.85 level underneath, and then perhaps the $2.75 level after that. I see a massive amount of resistance starting at the $3.00 level, extending to the $3.10 level above. Ultimately, this is a market that should continue to be bearish overall, and the oversupply of natural gas continues to be an issue. I don’t have any interest in buying, least not until we would break above the $3.10 level, and I don’t think that’s going to happen anytime soon. Because of this, I remain bearish and I think that we will revisit the lows over the next several sessions.

Natural gas

 

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