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Technical Outlook:
- Mild rally but quality follow through after the epic rally on Tuesday.
- SPX is headed for a showdown with key price resistance at the 1990 level. A break through of that level likely sends price up to around the 2020 level.
- Volume was extremely light on SPY and the lightest since 2/18. That goes without saying that volume also came in well below recent averages.
- While the rally has been a nice one off of the February lows, you have to keep one eye open for a potential reversal considering the resistance that is overhead and where we have already been so far this year.
- On the flip side, even though it flies in the face of what has taken place to-date, you can't rule out the possibility that the lows for the year could already be established (thought I don't share that view point).
- VIX continues to drop hard and signifies that volatility is easing in the current trading environment.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average) continues to sky rocket to a close of 75.68% - a mark that hasn't been attained since October 2013. Very concerning in that there little room left overhead at this point.
- SPX 30 minute chart is undoubtedly getting over-extended since 2/24 and would expect the trend-line to flatten out some if not eventually pullback.
- S&P 500 is trying to close out its third consecutive week of gains - the likes of which hasn't been seen since late November/early December.
- USO has a showdown with the 50-day moving average today. It rallied yesterday but failed to break through this level.
- SPX is now trading above the 5, 10, 20, and 50-day moving averages.
- February marked the third month in a row SPX has finished lower on a monthly basis. This hasn't happened since the summer sell-off of 2011.
My Trades:
- Added two new long positions to the portfolio yesterday.
- Did not close out any positions yesterday.
- Currently 20% long / 80% Cash
- Will look to add 1-2 new positions and follow the market's direction
- Join me each day for all my real-time trades and alerts in the SharePlanner Splash Zone





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