S&P 500 Summer Slide Ahead?

By Staff of Seasonax

Seasons, Patterns & Cycles • Aug 3, 2023 at 7:25 AM EDT

A look at the seasonal pattern for the S&P 500 between August 01 and October 01. Over the last 15 years, the S&P 500 has fallen around 50% of the time for an average fall of 1.80%.

black android smartphone turned on screen

Image Source: Unsplash

There is a longstanding Wall St. saying which says, ‘Sell in May, and Go Away’. This is because summer has a reputation for being a weak time for US stocks. So, does that mean a summer slide is ahead for US stocks this year? Taking a look at the seasonal pattern for the S&P 500 between August 01 and October 01. Over the last 15 years, the S&P 500 has fallen around 50% of the time for an average fall of 1.80%. Although it has been 50/50 whether the S&P 500 falls through this time the extent of the falls has been notable. In 2011 the S&P 500 fell nearly 15%, in 2022 it fell 10.69%, and in 2015 an 8.30% fall.

Will the S&P 500 see similar falls again this year between Aug 01 and Oct 01?

Major Trade Risks: Note that previous seasonal patterns do not necessarily repeat themselves each year.

Video Length: 00:01:22

More By This Author:

Nasdaq Weakness Ahead?
Will The GBPUSD Fall Out Of The BoE Meeting?
Have You Seen The ‘Turn Of The Month Dynamics’ For August?

Disclaimer:

Past results and past seasonal patterns are no indication of future performance, in particular, future market trends. seasonax GmbH neither recommends nor approves of any particular financial instrument, group of securities, segment of industry, analysis interval or any particular idea, approach, strategy or attitude nor provides consulting nor brokerage nor asset management services. seasonax GmbH hereby excludes any explicit or implied trading recommendation, in particular, any promise, implication or guarantee that profits are earned and losses excluded, provided, however, that in case of doubt, these terms shall be interpreted in abroad sense. Any information provided by seasonax GmbH or on this website or any other kind of data media shall not be construed as any kind of guarantee, warranty or representation, in particular as set forth in a prospectus. Any user is solely responsible for the results or the trading strategy that is created, developed or applied. Indicators, trading strategies and functions provided by seasonax GmbH or on this website or any other kind of data media may contain logical or other errors leading to unexpected results, faulty trading signals and/or substantial losses. seasonax GmbH neither warrants nor guarantees the accuracy, completeness, quality, adequacy or content of the information provided by it or on this website or any other kind of data media. Any user is obligated to comply with any applicable capital market rules of the applicable jurisdiction. All published content and images on this website or any other kind of data media are protected by copyright. Any duplication, processing, distribution or any form of utilisation beyond the scope of copyright law shall require the prior written consent of the author or authors in question. Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.

STOCKS IN THIS ARTICLE

Comments

Back to all articles