Preliminary Economic Forecast Sheet - Wednesday, Oct. 28

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. 

  Forecast Prior Observation  
Week of November 2      
November 2      
PMI Manufacturing Index - October 53.3 53.3  
ISM (Mfg) - October 55.5 55.4  
       
Construction Spending - September 1.0% 1.4  
       
November 3      
Factory Orders - September 1.0% 0.7  
Durable Goods Orders  1.5 0.5  
Nondurable Goods Orders  0.5 0.8  
       
Auto Sales* - September 16.5% 16.3  
Car Sales 3.8 3.8  
Truck Sales 12.7 12.6  
       
November 4      
International Trade - September -$74.3B -67.1  
PMI Services Index 56.0 56.0  
ISM Services - October 57.8 57.8  
       
Novenber 5      
Productivity - Q3 (p) 3.3% 10.1  
Unit Labor Costs -9.8 9.0  
       
November 6      
Nonfarm Payrolls - October 800K 661  
Private 875 887  
Manufacturing 55 66  
Unemployment 7.7% 7.9  
Average Workweek 34.7HR 34.7  
Average Hourly Earnings 0.2% 0.1  
       
Wholesale Inventories - September -0.1% -0.1  
Consumer Credit - September 14.0M 7.2  
       
Week of November 10      
November 12      
Consumer Price Index - October 0.2% 0.2  
Core CPI 0.2 0.2  
       
Treasury Budget - October -$290.0B -124.6  
       
November 13      
Producer Price Index - October 0.2% 0.4  
PPI less food, energy and trade services 0.4 0.4  
       

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