Preliminary Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of February 15 And 22

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of February 15
February 16
NY Fed Manufacturing Index	5	3.5

February 17
Retail Sales - January	0.6%	-0.7
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.8	-1.4

Producer Price Index - January	0.3%	0.3
Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services)	0.2	0.4

Industrial Production - January	0.4%	1.6
Manufacturing Output	0.5	0.9
Capacity Utilization	74.8	74.5

Business Iinventories - December	0.3%	0.5

February 18
Housing Starts - January	1.650M	1.669
Building Permits	1.670	1.709

Philadelphia Fed Survey	20.00	26.5

Export Prices - January	1.0%	1.1
Import Prices	1.0	0.9

NAHB Index - February	83	83

February 19
Existing Home Sales - January	6.560M	6.760

Week of February 22
February 22
Leading Indicators - January	0.3%	0.3
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	8.5	7.0
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	0.40	0.52

February 23
S&P Case/Shiller Index - December
Twenty City M/M	0.8%	1.1
Twenty City M/M - SA	1.2	1.4
Twenty City Y/Y	9.9	9.1

FHFA Housing Market Index - December	0.8%	1.0
Consumer Confidence Index - February	90.0	89.3
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	14	14

February 24
New Home Sales - Jan	855K	842

February 25
Durable Goods Orders - January	1.5%	0.3

GDP - Q4 (p)	4.0%	4.0
Pending Home Sales - January	125.5	125.5

February 26
International Trade in Goods - January (a)	-$83.2B	-82.5

Personal Income - January	11.0%	0.6
Personal Spending	0.5	-0.2

Chicago PMI - February	60.0	63.8