Market Pulse - Thursday, Nov. 5

Wall Street surged as midterm election results lowered policy risk, with the Dow climbing 3%.

Source: DepositPhotos

Midterms reset the market narrative

Democrats took Congress, so policy risk is lower. Hopes of US–Iran diplomacy sent oil sharply lower, and the dollar and yields slid.

Wall Street (Nov 4 close)

Dow: 53,356 (+3.03%)

S&P 500: 7,688.6 (+1.58%)

Nasdaq: 25,736.5 (+1.44%)

Asian markets

Hang Seng: 24,734 (+3.4%)

ASX 200: 9,065 (+2.6%)

Shanghai Composite: 3,666 (–0.5%)

Nikkei 225: 61,202 (–1.6%)

Taiex: –3.3%

Kospi: 5,339 (–6.1%), hit by a chip selloff

Hong Kong and Australia rallied. The AI and chip rout hit Seoul, Taipei and Tokyo.

Currencies

EUR/USD: 1.1262

USD/JPY: 157.92

DXY: 101.26, near one-month lows

Oil

Brent: $93.99

WTI: $86.96

Both are down after Wednesday’s drop of about 8%.

Gold: $4,129 (+1.7%)

Bitcoin: $80,476 (+3.2%)

Today’s calendar (GMT)

09:00 – Norges Bank (hold at 4.50% expected)

12:00 – Bank of England. A hike from 3.75% to 4.00% is expected, the first in over three years.

13:30 – Jobless claims (forecast ~196K) and Q3 productivity

Fed speakers: Hammack and Barkin

Ahead: US Nonfarm Payrolls tomorrow, CPI on November 10.

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