Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
| Week of July 19 | |||
| July 19 | |||
| NAHB Index - July | 82 | 81 | |
| July 20 | |||
| Housing Starts - June | 1.620M | 1.572 | |
| Building Permits | 1.705 | 1.683 | |
| July 22 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - June | 0.30 | 0.29 | |
| Leading Indicators | 1.1% | 1.3 | |
| Existing Home Sales - June | 5.825K | 5.800 | |
| July 23 | |||
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index | 62.1 | 62.1 | |
| PMI Services Flash Index | 65.1 | 64.6 | |
| Week of July 26 | |||
| July 26 | |||
| New Home Sales - June | 800K | 769 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 31.1 | 31.1 | |
| July 27 | |||
| Durable Goods Orders - June | 1.0% | 2.3 | |
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - May | |||
| Twenty City M/M | 1.7 | 2.1 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 1.5 | 1.6 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 16.4 | 14.9 | |
| FHFA Home Price Index - May | 1.8% | 1.8 | |
| Consumer Confidence - July | 128.3 | 127.3 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 20 | 22 | |
| July 28 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - June | -$89.0B | 88.1 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - June (a) | 1.30% | 1.3 | |
| FMOC | 0.125% | 0.125 | |
| July 29 | |||
| GDP - Q2 (a) | 9.2% | 6.4 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - June | 110.5 | 114.7 | |
| July 30 | |||
| Employment Cost Index - Q2 | 0.9% | 0.9 | |
| Employment Cost Index - Y/Y | 2.70 | 2.6 | |
| Personal Income - June | -0.9% | -2.0 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.4 | 0.0 | |
| Chicago PMI - July | 65.0 | 66.1 | |
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