Gaps Higher On Jobs Gains Tend To Run

When the monthly Employment Situation Report delivers positive news, equities tend to keep moving higher in the aftermath.

When the monthly Employment Situation Report delivers positive news, equities tend to keep moving higher in the aftermath.

The chart below shows the S&P 500’s average intraday performance for the 21 days since 2009 when the S&P 500 gapped up at least 50 bps at the open on NFP days, as it did today. 

As shown, the morning usually sees a lot of back and forth after the initial gap up, but then we see a major ramp higher from noon to 1 PM ET.From 1 PM to 3:30 PM, the S&P tends to trend lower, and then we see a final batch of buying in the final 30 minutes of trading. 

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