Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 6 And 13

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of October 6

October 7

JOLTS - August

4.700M

4.673

4.710

Consumer Credit - August

$21.0B

26.0

20.0

October 9

Initial Unemployment Claims

300K

287

293

Wholesale Inventories - August

0.3%

0.1

0.3

Wholesale Sales

October 10

Export Prices -  September

-0.1%

-0.5

-0.1

Import Prices

-0.9

-0.9

-0.8

Import Prices, ex-Energy

0.0

Treasury Budget - September

$82.0B

-128.7

72.0

Week of October 13

October 15

Producer Price Index - September

0.0%

0.0

-0.2

PPI Core

0.1

0.2

0.0

Energy

Retail Sales - September

0.0%

0.6

-0.1

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.2

0.3

0.2

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

20.5

27.54

21.5

Business Inventories - August

0.4%

0.4

0.4

October 16

Industrial Production - August

0.4%

-0.1

0.3

Capacity Utilization

79.1

78.8

78.9

Philadelphia Fed Survey

20.5

22.5

19.5

NAHB Index

59

59

59

October 17

Housing Starts - September

1.018M

0.956

1.016

Building Permits

1.035

0.998

1.023

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p)

84.6

84.6

84.2