Forecasts For The Weeks of August 8 And 15

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of August 8

August 9

NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - July

94.5

94.5

94.5

Productivity - Q2 (p)

0.6%

-0.6

0.5

Unit Labor Costs

1.6

4.5

1.8

Wholesale Inventories - June (r)

0.0%

0.0

0.0

August 10

JOLTS - June

5.70M

5.500

Treasury Budget - July

-$116.0B

6.3

August 11

Initial Unemployment Claims

265K

269

265

Export Prices -July

0.1%

0.8

0.0

Import Prices

-0.4

0.2

-0.4

August 12

Retail Sales - July

0.4%

0.6

0.4

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.2

0.7

0.2

Producer Price Index - July

0.1%

0.5

0.1

PPI Core

0.2

0.3

0.2

Business Inventories - June

0.1%

0.2

0.1

Michigan Consumer Sentiment (p)

91.2

90.0

91.5

Week of August 15

August 15

New York Fed Manufacturing Index

3.0

0.6

NAHB Index

60

59

August 16

Consumer Price Index - July

0.1%

0.2

CPI Core

0.2

0.2

Housing Starts - July

1.180M

1.189

Building Permits

1.170

1.153

Industrial Production - July

0.1

0.6

Capacity Utilization

75.4

75.4

Manufacturing

0.1

0.4

August 18

Philadelphia Fed Survey

3.0

-2.9

Leading Economic Indicators

0.2%

0.3