Forecasts And Economic Releases For The Weeks Of July 18 And 25

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of July 18

July 18

NAHB Index - July

60

60

61

July 19

Housing Starts - June

1.170M

1.164

1.170

Building Permits

1.150

1.138

1.150

July 21

Initial Unemployment Claims

265K

254

265

Philadelphia Fed Survey

5.0

4.7

5.0

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - June

-0.20

-0.51

FHFA Home Price Index - May

0.5%

0.2

0.4

Existing Home Sales - June

5.450M

5.530

5.475

Leading Indicators

0.5%

-0.2

0.3

Week of July 25

July 25

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

-2.0

-7.0

July 26

S&P Case/Shiller Index - May

Twenty City M/M

-0.3%

0.5

Twenty City M/M - SA

1.3

1.1

Twenty City Y/Y

5.6

5.4

New Home Sales - June

550K

551

Consumer Confidence - July

96.0

98.0

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

-2.0

-7.0

July 27

Durable Goods Orders - June

-0.2%

-2.2

Pending Home Sale Index - June

111.0

110.8

FMOC

0.375%

0.375

July 28

International Trade in Goods - May

61.1

61.1

July 29

GDP - Q2 (a)

2.6%

1.1

Employment Cost Index - Q2

0.5%

0.6

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

0.5

0.7

Chicago PMI - July

54.0

56.8

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (r)

90.5

89.5