Economy May Be Weaker Than Generally Recognized

The economic survey data is weakening more than the payroll data.

Note how the survey data is weakening more than the payroll data

The survey data tends to lead the payroll:

In 2019 payroll employment —what Wall Street pays attention to –is the weakest since 2012.

Moreover, hours worked has flattened out:

Finally, the average hourly wage growth is also weak.

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