Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of September 27 And October 4

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of September 27
September 27
Durable Goods Sales - August	0.5%	-0.1	0.7
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	11.0	9.0

September 28
International Trade in Goods - August	-$85.0B	-86.4
Wholesale Inventories - August (a)	1.0%	0.6

S&P Case/Shiller Index - July
Twenty City M/M	1.8%	2.0	1.6
Twenty City M/M - SA	1.8	1.8
Twenty City Y/Y	20.2	19.1	20.0

FHFA Home Price Index - July	1.5%	1.6
Consumer Confidence - September	116.0	113.8	114.5
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	11.0	9.0

September 29
Pending Home Sale Index - Aug	111.7	110.7	112.1

September 30
Initial Unemployment Claims	335K	351	328
GDP - Q2	6.8%	6.6	6.6
Chicago PMI - September	65.3	66.8	66.5

October 1
Personal Income - August	0.2%	1.1	0.3
Personal Spending	0.5	0.3	0.6

PMI Manufacturing Index	60.5	60.5
ISM (Mfg) - Sept	59.3	59.9	59.5

Construction Spending - August	0.3%	0.3	0.3
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r)	71.0	71.0

Auto Sales - September	13.2M	13.1
Car Sales	2.9	3.1
Truck Sales	10.3	10.0

Week of October 4
October 4
Factory Orders - August	0.5%	0.4
Durable Goods Orders	0.5	-0.1
Nondurable Goods Orders	0.5	0.9

October 5
International Trade - August	-67.7	70.1

ISM Services - September	61.3	61.7

October 6
ADP Employment Report - September	475K	374

October 7
Consumer Credit - August	$25.0B	17.0

October 8
Nonfarm Payrolls - September	525K	235
Private	600	243
Manufacturing	30	37
Unemployment	5.0%	5.2
Average Workweek	34.7HR	34.7
Average Hourly Earnings	0.3%	0.6