Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of September 26 and October 3

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of September 26

September 26

New Home Sales - August

595K

654

598

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

-3.0

-6.2

September 27

S&P Case/Shiller Index - July

Twenty City M/M

0.7%

0.8

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.1

-0.1

0.1

Twenty City Y/Y

5.2

5.1

5.2

PMI Services Flash

51.2

51.0

51.2

Consumer Confidence - September

98.8

101.1

98.8

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

-1.0

-11

September 28

Durable Goods Sales - August

-0.5%

4.4

-1.9

September 29

Initial Unemployment Claims

260K

252

260

GDP - Q2

1.2%

1.1

1.3

GDP Implicit Price Deflator

2.3

2.3

2.3

International Trade in Goods

-$62.3B

-59.3

-62.3

Pending Home Sale Index - Aug

111.3

111.3

111.3

Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

-2.0

-4.0

September 30

Personal Income - August

0.2%

0.4

0.2

Personal Spending

0.1

0.3

0.2

Chicago PMI - September

52.0

51.5

52.0

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r)

89.8

89.8

89.8

Week of October 3

October 3

Auto Sales* - September

17.1M

17.0

Car Sales

6.9

6.8

Truck Sales

10.2

10.2

*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence

PMI Manufacturing Index

51.4

51.4

ISM (Mfg) - Sept

50.4

49.4

Construction Spending - August

0.3%

0.0

October 5

ADP Employment Report - September

170K

177

ISM Services - September

53.0

51.4

Factory Orders - August

-0.2%

1.9

Durable Goods Orders

-0.4

4.4

Nondurable Goods Orders

0.0

-0.5

October 7

Nonfarm Payrolls - September

180K

151

Private

170

126

Manufacturing

-2

-14

Unemployment

4.9%

4.9

Average Workweek

34.4Hr

34.3

Average Hourly Earnings

0.2%

0.1

Wholesale Inventories - August

0.0%

0.0

Consumer Credit - August

$16.7B

17.7