Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of September 20 And 27

Mockup, Screen, Smartphone, Website, Blog, Word

Image Source: Pixabay

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of September 20
September 20
NAHB Index	76	75	74

September 21
Housing Starts - August	1.610M	1.534	1.560
Building Permits	1.670	1.635	1.600

Current Account - Q2	-$190.0B	-195.7	-191.2

September 22
Existing Home Sales - August	5.780M	5.990	5.880
FMOC	0.125%	0.125	0.25

September 23
Initial Unemployment Claims	325K	332	320
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August	0.5	0.5

PMI Manufacturing - Flash	60.8	61.1	61.5
PMI Services Flash	54.8	55.1	55.0

Leading Indicators	0.8%	0.9	0.7

September 24
New Home Sales - August	725K	708	713

Week of September 27
September 27
Durable Goods Sales - August	0.3%	-0.1
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	11.0	9.0

September 28
International Trade in Goods - August	-$85.0B	-86.4
Wholesale Inventories - August (a)	1.0%	0.6

S&P Case/Shiller Index - July
Twenty City M/M	1.8%	2.0
Twenty City M/M - SA	1.8	1.8
Twenty City Y/Y	20.2	19.1
Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA

FHFA Home Price Index - July	1.6%	1.6
Consumer Confidence - September	116.0	113.8
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	11.0	9.0

September 29
Pending Home Sale Index - Aug	111.7	110.7

September 30
Initial Unemployment Claims

GDP - Q2	6.8%	6.6
Chicago PMI - September	65.3	66.8

October 1
Personal Income - August	0.2%	1.1
Personal Spending	0.3	0.3

ISM (Mfg) - Sept	59.8	59.9
Construction Spending - August	0.3%	0.3
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r)		71.0

Auto Sales - September	13.2M	13.1
Car Sales	2.9	3.1
Truck Sales	10.3	10.0