Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 11 And 18

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data releases.

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Forecast
Prior Observation
Consensus
Week of September 11
 
 
 
September 12
 
 
 
NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - August
91
92
 
 
 
 
 
September 13
 
 
 
Consumer Price Index - August
0.5%
0.2
0.6
Core CPI
0.3
0.2
0.2
 
 
 
 
Treasury Budget - August
-$210.0B
-220.8
-207.0
 
 
 
 
September 14
 
 
 
Retail Sales - August
0.3%
0.7
0.2
Retail Sales, ex Autos
0.5
1.0
0.5
Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas
0.1
1.0
 
 
 
 
 
Producer Price Index - August
0.4%
0.3
0.4
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services)
0.2
0.3
0.2
 
 
 
 
Initial Unemployment Claims
225K
216
226
Business Inventories - July
0.0%
0.0
0.1
 
 
 
 
September 15
 
 
 
New York Fed Manufacturing Index
-10.0
-19.0
-10.0
 
 
 
 
Export Prices -  August
0.3%
0.7
0.3
Import Prices
0.3
0.4
0.3
 
 
 
 
Industrial Production - August
0.1%
1.0
0.1
Capacity Utilization
79.2
79.3
79.3
Manufacturing
0.1
0.5
0.1
 
 
 
 
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (p)
69.1
69.5
69.2
 
 
 
 
Week of September 18
 
 
 
September 18
 
 
 
NAHB Index
52
50
 
 
 
 
 
September 19
 
 
 
Housing Starts - August
1.440M
1.452
 
Building Permits
1.450
1.442
 
 
 
 
 
September 20
 
 
 
FMOC
5.375%
5.375
 
 
 
 
 
September 21
 
 
 
Current Account - Q2
-$228.3B
-219.3
 
Leading Indicators 
-0.3%
-0.4
 
Existing Home Sales - August
4.100M
4.070
 
 
 
 
 
September 22
 
 
 
PMI Manufacturing - Flash
47.6
47.6
 
PMI Services Flash
50
50.5

 


More By This Author:

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 4 And 11
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 28 And Sep. 4
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 7 And 14

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