Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 18 And 25

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of October 18
October 18
Industrial Production - September	0.3	0.4	0.2
Capacity Utilization	76.6	76.4	76.5
Manufacturing	0.3	0.2	0.1

NAHB Index	76	76	76

October 19
Housing Starts - September	1.635M	1.615	1.620
Building Permits	1.705	1.721	1.680

October 21
Initial Unemployment Claims	310K	293	303
Philadelphia Fed Survey	24.0	30.7
Leading Indicators	0.5%	0.9	0.4
Existing Home Sales - September	6.000M	5.880M	6.060

Week of October 25
October 25
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	0.35	0.29
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	7.5	4.6

October 26
S&P Case/Shiller Index - August
Twenty City M/M	1.5%	1.6
Twenty City M/M - SA	1.6	1.5
Twenty City Y/Y	20.0	19.7

FHFA House Price Index - August	1.4%	1.4
Consumer Confidence	113.0	109.3	109.8
New Home Sales - September	775K	740	770
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	6.0	-3.0

October 27
Durable Goods Sales - September	-0.5	1.8	-0.2
International Trade in Goods - September (a)	-$86.0B	-87.6
Wholesale Inventories - September (a)	1.2%	1.2

October 28
Initial Unemployment Claims

GDP - Q3 (a)	3.2%	6.7	3.4
Pending Home Sale Index - September	118.0	119.5

October 29
Employment Cost Index - Q3	0.8%	0.7	0.800
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y	0.2	2.9

Personal Income - September	0.4%	0.2	0.3
Personal Spending	0.7	0.8	0.6

Chicago PMI	64.2	64.7	64.2
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - Oct (r)	71.4	71.4	72.0