Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 29 And December 6


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of November 29
November 29
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	14.60	14.6
Pending Home Sale Index - October	117.0	116.7

November 30
S&P Case/Shiller Index - September
Twenty City M/M	1.0%	0.9
Twenty City M/M - SA	1.0	1.2
Twenty City Y/Y	19.3	19.7

FHFA Housing Price Index - Sept	1.0%	1.0
Consumer Confidence - November	109.8	113.8	110.7
Chicago PMI	68.4	68.4	68.4

December 1
ADP Employment Report - November	420K	571	480

PMI Manufacturing Index - November	59.1	59.1
ISM (Mfg) - November	60.8	60.8	61.0
Construction Spending - October	0.8%	-0.5	0.6

Auto Sales - November	13.1M	13.1
Car Sales	2.8	2.6
Truck Sales	10.3	10.4

December 2
Initial Unemployment Claims	225K	199	250

December 3
Nonfarm Payrolls - November	480K	531	500
Private	460	604	483
Manufacturing	50	60	48
Unemployment	4.5%	4.6	4.5
Average Workweek	34.7HR	34.7	34.7
Average Hourly Earnings	0.4%	0.4	0.4

PMI Services Index - November	57.0	57.0
ISM Services - November	66.7	66.7	65.5

Factory Orders - October	0.2%	0.2
Durable Goods Orders	-0.5	-0.3
Nondurable Goods Orders	0.8	0.8

Week of December 6
December 6

December 7
International Trade - October	-$65.4B	-80.9

Productivity - Q3 (r)	-4.0%%	-5.0
Unit Labor Costs	7.3	8.3

Consumer Credit - October	$25.0B	29.9


December 8
JOLTS-October	10.438B	10.438

December 9
Initial Unemployment Claims

Wholesale Inventories - October (p)		2.2
Wholesale Sales

December 10
Consumer Price Index - November	0.5%	0.9
Core CPI	0.3	0.6
Energy		4.8

Treasury Budget - November	-$195.0B	-165.1
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Dec (p)	67.4	67.4