Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 25 And December 2

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of November 25

November 25

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October

-0.20

-0.45

-0.20

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

-2.0

-5.1

-2.5

November 26

International Trade in Goods - October

-$71.0B

-70.4

-70.0

Wholesale Inventories - October (p)

0.3%

-0.4

FHFA Housing Price Index - Sept

0.3

0.2

New Home Sales - October

700K

701

707

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

2

8

26

Consumer Confidence - November

126.5

125.9

126.8

S&P Case/Shiller Index - September

Twenty City M/M

-0.2%

0.0

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.3

-0.2

0.3

Twenty City Y/Y

1.7

2.0

2.0

November 27

Initial Unemployment Claims

225K

227.0

219

Durable Goods Sales - October

-0.5%

-1.2

-0.7

GDP - Q3 (r)

2.0%

1.9

1.9

Personal Income - October

0.3%

0.3

0.3

Personal Spending

0.3

0.2

0.3

Pending Home Sale Index - October

108.0

108.7

Chicago PMI

46.0

43.2

46.0

Week of December 2

December 2

PMI Manufacturing Index - November

52.2

52.2

ISM (Mfg) - November

50.0

48.3

48.5

Construction Spending - October

0.3%

0.5

December 3

Auto Sales* - November

17.0M

16.8

Car Sales

4.7

4.5

Truck Sales

12.3

12.2

December 4

ISM Services - November

55.0

54.7

December 5

International Trade - October

-$52.9B

-52.5

Factory Orders - October

-0.3%

-0.6

Durable Goods Orders

-0.5

-1.2

Nondurable Goods Orders

0.2

0.1

December 6

Nonfarm Payrolls - November

180K

128

175

Private

170

131

Manufacturing

40

-36

Unemployment

3.5%

3.6

Average Workweek

34.4HR

34.4

Average Hourly Earnings

0.2%

0.2

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Dec (p)

96.8

96.8

Consumer Credit - October

$15.0B

9.5

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