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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of May 20 |
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May 20 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index - April |
-0.05 |
-0.15 |
-0.08 |
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May 21 |
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Existing Home Sales - April |
5.380M |
5.21 |
5.360 |
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May 23 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
215K |
212 |
217 |
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New Home Sales - April |
675K |
692 |
678 |
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Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index |
6 |
5 |
6 |
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May 24 |
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Durable Goods Sales - April |
-2.0% |
2.6 |
-2.0 |
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Week of May 27 |
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May 27 |
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Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey |
6.0 |
2.0 |
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May 28 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index - March |
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Ten City M/M |
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Ten City Y/Y |
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Twenty City M/M |
0.3% |
0.2 |
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Twenty City M/M - SA |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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Twenty City Y/Y |
2.2 |
3.0 |
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Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA |
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FHFA Housing Price Index - March |
0.3% |
0.3 |
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Consumer Confidence |
129.8 |
129.2 |
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May 29 |
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey |
6 |
3 |
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May 30 |
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Initial Jobless Claims |
218K |
212 |
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GDP - Q1 (p) |
3.0% |
3.2 |
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GDP Implicit Price Deflator |
1.2 |
1.3 |
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International Trade in Goods - April |
-$71.5B |
-71.4 |
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Wholesale Inventories (a) - April |
-0.1 |
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Pending Home Sale Index - April |
103.9 |
105.8 |
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May 31 |
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Personal Income - April |
0.3% |
0.1 |
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Personal Spending |
0.3 |
0.9 |
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Chicago PMI - May |
53.7 |
52.6 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - May (r) |
192.4 |
102.4 |
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