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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data |
|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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|
Week of March 20 |
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March 20 |
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|
Chicago Fed National Activity Index |
0.10 |
-0.05 |
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|
March 21 |
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|
Current Account - Q4 |
-$128.3B |
-113.0 |
-128.1 |
|
|
March 22 |
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|
Existing Home Sales - February |
5.580M |
5.690 |
5.555 |
|
|
FHFA Housing Market Index - January |
0.4% |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
|
March 23 |
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|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
241K |
241 |
240 |
|
|
New Home Sales - February |
0.555M |
0.555 |
0.565 |
|
|
March 24 |
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|
Durable Good Orders - February |
1.2% |
2.0 |
1.5 |
|
|
Week of March 27 |
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|
March 27 |
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|
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
21.0 |
24.5 |
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|
March 28 |
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|
International Trade in Goods - January |
-$67.5B |
-69.2 |
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|
S&P Case/Shiller Index - January |
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|
Twenty City M/M |
0.0% |
0.3 |
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|
Twenty City M/M - SA |
0.8 |
0.9 |
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|
Twenty City Y/Y |
5.6 |
5.6 |
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|
Consumer Confidence Index - March |
113.0 |
114.8 |
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|
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
15.0 |
17 |
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|
March 29 |
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Pending Home Sale Index - February |
107.9 |
106.4 |
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|
March 30 |
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GDP - Q4 (f) |
1.9% |
1.9 |
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|
GDP Implicit Price Deflator |
2.1 |
2.0 |
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|
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index |
14 |
14 |
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|
March 31 |
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|
Personal Income - February |
0.4% |
0.4 |
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|
Personal Spending |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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|
Chicago PMI - March |
57.4 |
57.4 |
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|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - March (f) |
97.6 |
97.6 |




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